Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 11.837555 13.315533 14.986933 17.034017 19.497115 22.395875 26.111809
2025-03-30 9.560681 11.332372 13.495245 16.382494 20.219755 25.273720 32.668937
2025-04-06 8.133196 9.958140 12.296366 15.599535 20.300390 27.018029 37.906611
2025-04-13 7.175002 8.999603 11.424230 15.003292 20.383906 28.614420 43.210592
2025-04-20 7.099839 9.170705 12.049126 16.541224 23.797366 35.978454 60.588641
2025-04-27 6.745488 8.900656 11.996909 17.036329 25.646080 41.238885 76.529134
2025-05-04 6.180821 8.267744 11.330745 16.456084 25.550757 42.918553 85.652099
2025-05-11 5.931363 8.068635 11.289905 16.871954 27.273729 48.592657 107.587399
2025-05-18 5.577709 7.679799 10.909528 16.652217 27.754774 51.795678 125.072799
2025-05-25 5.271684 7.338416 10.570001 16.454451 28.232679 55.131218 145.607013
2025-06-01 5.026471 7.072404 10.327110 16.395875 28.977921 59.352408 173.222001
2025-06-08 4.741180 6.723045 9.915747 15.973951 28.869654 61.358496 194.323732
2025-06-15 4.532305 6.494058 9.708301 15.954235 29.743022 66.650868 238.992320
2025-06-22 4.245877 6.122093 9.228007 15.352356 29.183805 67.669725 264.195415
2025-06-29 3.967566 5.747620 8.717040 14.636836 28.238792 67.235308 281.224320
2025-07-06 3.738728 5.443050 8.309430 14.091283 27.625941 67.724429 306.608409
2025-07-13 3.810912 5.645104 8.819668 15.496926 32.225432 88.361784 562.100313
2025-07-20 3.743141 5.602902 8.878308 15.948408 34.443149 101.921403 851.319765
2025-07-27 3.556224 5.343767 8.512487 15.419237 33.787228 103.045404 969.896721
2025-08-03 3.493101 5.297753 8.547067 15.798571 35.881693 118.189318 1565.166913
2025-08-10 3.366535 5.132628 8.340821 15.598181 36.178953 124.880660 2101.784773
2025-08-17 3.250589 4.980920 8.151160 15.417746 36.510400 132.159964 2929.508678
2025-08-24 3.155765 4.862709 8.019973 15.364289 37.253080 142.575396 4603.326347